Marie-Noëlle Aubertin

Groulx

31.5points behind the leader

CAQCoalition avenir Québec

INCUMBENT

Eric GirardGroulx

47.7 %

Eric GirardCoalition avenir Québec · IncumbentCAQ since 2012

The climb · 2022

CAQEric Girard

QSMarie-Noëlle Aubertin

QLPJulie Tourangeau

CQÉMOSamuel Beauchamp

Gap at the last election31.5 points

Unchanged territory according to the official final 2026 list. The 2022 and 2018 histories use the 2017 map; name changes are verified. Party hold is established at August 27, 2026, independently of confirmed nominations. Age and tenure are not documented.

The candidate’s own words

Why I’m running

There is room here for Marie-Noëlle Aubertin to explain their commitment, priorities and what the numbers cannot tell us.

No response has been published yet. This does not indicate a refusal or a lack of effort.

The questions we want to ask

Why are you running in this riding?
What should people know about you beyond your age or the difficult assignment?
What local issue do you want to bring to the National Assembly?
What would a successful campaign look like to you, even without winning?
What support are you receiving from your party and your team?
What do you hope to continue after election day?

A gap measured at the last election, not a prediction.

At dissolution on August 27, 2026 : Eric Girard · CAQ. This affiliation is separate from confirmation of a new nomination.

The arithmetic behind the assignment

H1 · 2022 · Groulx

Party at the previous election : 16.2 %

Strongest opponent at that election : 47.7 %

36,507 valid votes · Verified comparable territory

Inspect all votes and the denominator

Eric Girard · CAQ17,431 votes
Marie-Noëlle Aubertin · QS5,919 votes
Jeanne Craig-Larouche · PQ5,588 votes
Audrey Medaino-Tardif · QLP4,024 votes
Valerie Messore · PCQ3,177 votes
Victoria Shahsavar-Arshad · PVQ368 votes

Sum of candidate votes = 36,507 / 36,507 valid votes

H2 · 2018 · Groulx

Party at the previous election : 17.2 %

Strongest opponent at that election : 40.6 %

36,370 valid votes · Verified comparable territory

Shown for context. The score uses the last election only.

Inspect all votes and the denominator

Eric Girard · CAQ14,771 votes
Sabrina Chartrand · QLP7,369 votes
Fabien Torres · QS6,268 votes
Jean-Philippe Meloche · PQ5,745 votes
Claude Surprenant · CI812 votes
Robin Dick · PVQ802 votes
Vincent Aubé · PCQ368 votes
Chantal Lavoie · CPQ235 votes

Sum of candidate votes = 36,370 / 36,370 valid votes

The calculation

47.7 % − 16.2 % = 31.5 points

Calculated using unrounded values; displayed to one decimal.

Sources and supporting evidence (9)

Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 7, 2026 · SHA-256 969675c27b6f594d
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 4515dbbc7d71aace
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 ffe7e38098f0e071
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 4030bbb26912a7bc
Élections Québec ↗Official map history: twelve territories retained in 2026; 2017 map used in 2018 and 2022.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 6b23cd706bd2ca87
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 dd164f0ad5ff7e9f
Assemblée nationale du Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 7, 2026 · SHA-256 1d8ee8ea2a30ef5d
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 66a4410f46b2c664
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 ff268ada6bee3c51