Candidate dossier / 140 · Gatineau

Where

The challenger

PQParti Québécois

Raphaël Déry

Gatineau

32.7points behind the leader

CAQCoalition avenir Québec

INCUMBENT

Robert BussièreGatineau

41.7 %

Robert BussièreCoalition avenir Québec · IncumbentCAQ since 2018

The climb · 2018

CAQRobert Bussière

QLPCaryl Green

QSLaura Avalos

PQRaphaël Déry

PCQJoëlle Jammal

PCaQDanilo Velasquez

DDRobert Dupuis

Gap at the last election32.7 points

Retrospective reconstruction. The 2017 map was used in 2018 and 2022. H2 (2014) excluded: map change not reviewed. No biography inferred.

Nomination status: Confirmed historical candidacy

A gap measured at the last election, not a prediction.

The arithmetic behind the assignment

H1 · 2018 · Gatineau

Party at the previous election : 9.0 %

Strongest opponent at that election : 41.7 %

34,944 valid votes · Verified comparable territory

Inspect all votes and the denominator

Robert Bussière · CAQ14,586 votes
Luce Farrell · QLP10,654 votes
Milan Bernard · QS4,517 votes
Jonathan Carreiro-Benoit · PQ3,148 votes
Jasper Boychuk · PVQ1,271 votes
Mario Belec · PCQ697 votes
Alexandre Deschênes · PMLQ71 votes

Sum of candidate votes = 34,944 / 34,944 valid votes

The calculation

41.7 % − 9.0 % = 32.7 points

Calculated using unrounded values; displayed to one decimal.

The person behind the assignment

Why run here?

No interview published.

Retrospective reconstruction

Outcome

Sources and supporting evidence (4)

Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 66a4410f46b2c664
Élections Québec ↗Official 2022 candidacies; incumbent indicator used for pre-election context.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 488057227cc47565
Élections Québec ↗Official map history: twelve territories retained in 2026; 2017 map used in 2018 and 2022.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 6b23cd706bd2ca87
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 ff268ada6bee3c51

Another dossier awaits.

No.The challengerThe incumbent / opponentGap at the last electionSave this dossier

Louis-Charles Fortier

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.2 pts

Chantal Beauregard

PQParti Québécois

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.0 pts

← Back to the ranking

Candidate dossier / 140 · Gatineau

Where

The challenger

PQParti Québécois

Raphaël Déry

Gatineau

32.7points behind the leader

CAQCoalition avenir Québec

INCUMBENT

Robert BussièreGatineau

41.7 %

Robert BussièreCoalition avenir Québec · IncumbentCAQ since 2018

The climb · 2018

CAQRobert Bussière

QLPCaryl Green

QSLaura Avalos

PQRaphaël Déry

PCQJoëlle Jammal

PCaQDanilo Velasquez

DDRobert Dupuis

Gap at the last election32.7 points

Retrospective reconstruction. The 2017 map was used in 2018 and 2022. H2 (2014) excluded: map change not reviewed. No biography inferred.

Nomination status: Confirmed historical candidacy

A gap measured at the last election, not a prediction.

The arithmetic behind the assignment

H1 · 2018 · Gatineau

Party at the previous election : 9.0 %

Strongest opponent at that election : 41.7 %

34,944 valid votes · Verified comparable territory

Inspect all votes and the denominator

Robert Bussière · CAQ14,586 votes
Luce Farrell · QLP10,654 votes
Milan Bernard · QS4,517 votes
Jonathan Carreiro-Benoit · PQ3,148 votes
Jasper Boychuk · PVQ1,271 votes
Mario Belec · PCQ697 votes
Alexandre Deschênes · PMLQ71 votes

Sum of candidate votes = 34,944 / 34,944 valid votes

The calculation

41.7 % − 9.0 % = 32.7 points

Calculated using unrounded values; displayed to one decimal.

The person behind the assignment

Why run here?

No interview published.

Retrospective reconstruction

Outcome

Sources and supporting evidence (4)

Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 66a4410f46b2c664
Élections Québec ↗Official 2022 candidacies; incumbent indicator used for pre-election context.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 488057227cc47565
Élections Québec ↗Official map history: twelve territories retained in 2026; 2017 map used in 2018 and 2022.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 6b23cd706bd2ca87
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 ff268ada6bee3c51

Another dossier awaits.

No.The challengerThe incumbent / opponentGap at the last electionSave this dossier

Louis-Charles Fortier

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.2 pts

Chantal Beauregard

PQParti Québécois

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.0 pts