Candidate dossier / — · Rouyn-Noranda-Témiscamingue

Where

The challenger

QLPQuebec Liberal Party

Arnaud Warolin

Rouyn-Noranda-Témiscamingue

15.7points behind the leader

QSQuébec solidaire

INCUMBENT

Émilise Lessard-TherrienRouyn-Noranda-Témiscamingue

32.1 %

Émilise Lessard-TherrienQuébec solidaire · IncumbentQS in 2018

The climb · 2018

QSÉmilise Lessard-Therrien

CAQDaniel Bernard

PQJean-François Vachon

QLPArnaud Warolin

PCQRobert Daigle

PVQChantal Corswarem

Gap at the last election15.7 points

Retrospective reconstruction. The 2017 map was used in 2018 and 2022. H2 (2014) excluded: map change not reviewed. No biography inferred.

Nomination status: Confirmed historical candidacy

A gap measured at the last election, not a prediction.

Reason : Below ranking threshold

The arithmetic behind the assignment

H1 · 2018 · Rouyn-Noranda-Témiscamingue

Party at the previous election : 16.4 %

Strongest opponent at that election : 32.1 %

29,003 valid votes · Verified comparable territory

Inspect all votes and the denominator

Émilise Lessard-Therrien · QS9,304 votes
Jérémy G. Bélanger · CAQ8,798 votes
Gilles Chapadeau · PQ5,311 votes
Luc Blanchette · QLP4,753 votes
Jessica Wells · PVQ389 votes
Guillaume Lanouette · PCQ253 votes
Fernand St-Georges · CPQ195 votes

Sum of candidate votes = 29,003 / 29,003 valid votes

The calculation

32.1 % − 16.4 % = 15.7 points

Calculated using unrounded values; displayed to one decimal.

The person behind the assignment

Why run here?

No interview published.

Retrospective reconstruction

Outcome

Sources and supporting evidence (4)

Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 66a4410f46b2c664
Élections Québec ↗Official 2022 candidacies; incumbent indicator used for pre-election context.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 488057227cc47565
Élections Québec ↗Official map history: twelve territories retained in 2026; 2017 map used in 2018 and 2022.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 6b23cd706bd2ca87
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 ff268ada6bee3c51

Another dossier awaits.

No.The challengerThe incumbent / opponentGap at the last electionSave this dossier

Louis-Charles Fortier

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.2 pts

Chantal Beauregard

PQParti Québécois

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.0 pts

← Back to the ranking

Candidate dossier / — · Rouyn-Noranda-Témiscamingue

Where

The challenger

QLPQuebec Liberal Party

Arnaud Warolin

Rouyn-Noranda-Témiscamingue

15.7points behind the leader

QSQuébec solidaire

INCUMBENT

Émilise Lessard-TherrienRouyn-Noranda-Témiscamingue

32.1 %

Émilise Lessard-TherrienQuébec solidaire · IncumbentQS in 2018

The climb · 2018

QSÉmilise Lessard-Therrien

CAQDaniel Bernard

PQJean-François Vachon

QLPArnaud Warolin

PCQRobert Daigle

PVQChantal Corswarem

Gap at the last election15.7 points

Retrospective reconstruction. The 2017 map was used in 2018 and 2022. H2 (2014) excluded: map change not reviewed. No biography inferred.

Nomination status: Confirmed historical candidacy

A gap measured at the last election, not a prediction.

Reason : Below ranking threshold

The arithmetic behind the assignment

H1 · 2018 · Rouyn-Noranda-Témiscamingue

Party at the previous election : 16.4 %

Strongest opponent at that election : 32.1 %

29,003 valid votes · Verified comparable territory

Inspect all votes and the denominator

Émilise Lessard-Therrien · QS9,304 votes
Jérémy G. Bélanger · CAQ8,798 votes
Gilles Chapadeau · PQ5,311 votes
Luc Blanchette · QLP4,753 votes
Jessica Wells · PVQ389 votes
Guillaume Lanouette · PCQ253 votes
Fernand St-Georges · CPQ195 votes

Sum of candidate votes = 29,003 / 29,003 valid votes

The calculation

32.1 % − 16.4 % = 15.7 points

Calculated using unrounded values; displayed to one decimal.

The person behind the assignment

Why run here?

No interview published.

Retrospective reconstruction

Outcome

Sources and supporting evidence (4)

Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 66a4410f46b2c664
Élections Québec ↗Official 2022 candidacies; incumbent indicator used for pre-election context.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 488057227cc47565
Élections Québec ↗Official map history: twelve territories retained in 2026; 2017 map used in 2018 and 2022.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 6b23cd706bd2ca87
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 ff268ada6bee3c51

Another dossier awaits.

No.The challengerThe incumbent / opponentGap at the last electionSave this dossier

Louis-Charles Fortier

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.2 pts

Chantal Beauregard

PQParti Québécois

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.0 pts