Candidate dossier / 051 · L'Assomption

Where

The challenger

QLPQuebec Liberal Party

Thomas Ano-Dumas

L'Assomption

49.0points behind the leader

CAQCoalition avenir Québec

INCUMBENT

François LegaultL'Assomption

57.0 %

François LegaultCoalition avenir Québec · IncumbentCAQ since 2012

The climb · 2018

CAQFrançois Legault

QSMartin Lefebvre

PQCatherine Provost

QLPThomas Ano-Dumas

PCQErnesto Almeida

Gap at the last election49.0 points

Retrospective reconstruction. The 2017 map was used in 2018 and 2022. H2 (2014) excluded: map change not reviewed. No biography inferred.

Nomination status: Confirmed historical candidacy

A gap measured at the last election, not a prediction.

The arithmetic behind the assignment

H1 · 2018 · L'Assomption

Party at the previous election : 8.0 %

Strongest opponent at that election : 57.0 %

31,979 valid votes · Verified comparable territory

Inspect all votes and the denominator

François Legault · CAQ18,237 votes
Marie-Claude Brière · QS5,425 votes
Sylvie Langlois Brouillette · PQ4,625 votes
Virginie Bouchard · QLP2,558 votes
Eve Bellavance · PVQ596 votes
Sylvie Tougas · CPQ363 votes
Charles-Etienne Everitt-Raynault · PCQ175 votes

Sum of candidate votes = 31,979 / 31,979 valid votes

The calculation

57.0 % − 8.0 % = 49.0 points

Calculated using unrounded values; displayed to one decimal.

The person behind the assignment

Why run here?

No interview published.

Retrospective reconstruction

Outcome

Sources and supporting evidence (4)

Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 66a4410f46b2c664
Élections Québec ↗Official 2022 candidacies; incumbent indicator used for pre-election context.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 488057227cc47565
Élections Québec ↗Official map history: twelve territories retained in 2026; 2017 map used in 2018 and 2022.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 6b23cd706bd2ca87
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 ff268ada6bee3c51

Another dossier awaits.

No.The challengerThe incumbent / opponentGap at the last electionSave this dossier

Louis-Charles Fortier

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.2 pts

Chantal Beauregard

PQParti Québécois

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.0 pts

← Back to the ranking

Candidate dossier / 051 · L'Assomption

Where

The challenger

QLPQuebec Liberal Party

Thomas Ano-Dumas

L'Assomption

49.0points behind the leader

CAQCoalition avenir Québec

INCUMBENT

François LegaultL'Assomption

57.0 %

François LegaultCoalition avenir Québec · IncumbentCAQ since 2012

The climb · 2018

CAQFrançois Legault

QSMartin Lefebvre

PQCatherine Provost

QLPThomas Ano-Dumas

PCQErnesto Almeida

Gap at the last election49.0 points

Retrospective reconstruction. The 2017 map was used in 2018 and 2022. H2 (2014) excluded: map change not reviewed. No biography inferred.

Nomination status: Confirmed historical candidacy

A gap measured at the last election, not a prediction.

The arithmetic behind the assignment

H1 · 2018 · L'Assomption

Party at the previous election : 8.0 %

Strongest opponent at that election : 57.0 %

31,979 valid votes · Verified comparable territory

Inspect all votes and the denominator

François Legault · CAQ18,237 votes
Marie-Claude Brière · QS5,425 votes
Sylvie Langlois Brouillette · PQ4,625 votes
Virginie Bouchard · QLP2,558 votes
Eve Bellavance · PVQ596 votes
Sylvie Tougas · CPQ363 votes
Charles-Etienne Everitt-Raynault · PCQ175 votes

Sum of candidate votes = 31,979 / 31,979 valid votes

The calculation

57.0 % − 8.0 % = 49.0 points

Calculated using unrounded values; displayed to one decimal.

The person behind the assignment

Why run here?

No interview published.

Retrospective reconstruction

Outcome

Sources and supporting evidence (4)

Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 66a4410f46b2c664
Élections Québec ↗Official 2022 candidacies; incumbent indicator used for pre-election context.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 488057227cc47565
Élections Québec ↗Official map history: twelve territories retained in 2026; 2017 map used in 2018 and 2022.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 6b23cd706bd2ca87
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 ff268ada6bee3c51

Another dossier awaits.

No.The challengerThe incumbent / opponentGap at the last electionSave this dossier

Louis-Charles Fortier

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.2 pts

Chantal Beauregard

PQParti Québécois

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.0 pts