Candidate dossier / 080 · Louis-Hébert

Where

The challenger

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Marika Robitaille

Louis-Hébert

42.3points behind the leader

CAQCoalition avenir Québec

INCUMBENT

Geneviève GuilbaultLouis-Hébert

44.6 %

Geneviève GuilbaultCoalition avenir Québec · IncumbentCAQ since 2018

The climb · 2018

CAQGeneviève Guilbault

QLPDominic Cardinal

PQVictor Dubuc

QSSteven Lachance

PCQMarika Robitaille

PVQDaydree Vendette

DDJean-Pierre Hamel

ÉAYolaine Brochu

Gap at the last election42.3 points

Retrospective reconstruction. The 2017 map was used in 2018 and 2022. H2 (2014) excluded: map change not reviewed. No biography inferred.

Nomination status: Confirmed historical candidacy

A gap measured at the last election, not a prediction.

The arithmetic behind the assignment

H1 · 2018 · Louis-Hébert

Party at the previous election : 2.3 %

Strongest opponent at that election : 44.6 %

36,440 valid votes · Verified comparable territory

Inspect all votes and the denominator

Geneviève Guilbault · CAQ16,248 votes
Julie-Maude Perron · QLP9,700 votes
Normand Beauregard · PQ4,529 votes
Guillaume Boivin · QS4,030 votes
Natalie Bjerke · PCQ841 votes
Daydree Vendette · PVQ550 votes
Caroline Côté · NPDQ276 votes
Vincent Bégin · CI244 votes
Jean-Luc Rouckout · ÉA22 votes

Sum of candidate votes = 36,440 / 36,440 valid votes

The calculation

44.6 % − 2.3 % = 42.3 points

Calculated using unrounded values; displayed to one decimal.

The person behind the assignment

Why run here?

No interview published.

Retrospective reconstruction

Outcome

Sources and supporting evidence (5)

Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 66a4410f46b2c664
Élections Québec ↗Official 2022 candidacies; incumbent indicator used for pre-election context.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 488057227cc47565
Élections Québec ↗Official map history: twelve territories retained in 2026; 2017 map used in 2018 and 2022.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 6b23cd706bd2ca87
Assemblée nationale du Québec ↗Claire Samson sat for the PCQ before the 2022 dissolution. The party qualifies through a held seat; its 2018 share alone does not qualify.September 7, 2026 · SHA-256 d8080c6198b3c31c
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 ff268ada6bee3c51

Another dossier awaits.

No.The challengerThe incumbent / opponentGap at the last electionSave this dossier

Louis-Charles Fortier

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.2 pts

Chantal Beauregard

PQParti Québécois

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.0 pts

← Back to the ranking

Candidate dossier / 080 · Louis-Hébert

Where

The challenger

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Marika Robitaille

Louis-Hébert

42.3points behind the leader

CAQCoalition avenir Québec

INCUMBENT

Geneviève GuilbaultLouis-Hébert

44.6 %

Geneviève GuilbaultCoalition avenir Québec · IncumbentCAQ since 2018

The climb · 2018

CAQGeneviève Guilbault

QLPDominic Cardinal

PQVictor Dubuc

QSSteven Lachance

PCQMarika Robitaille

PVQDaydree Vendette

DDJean-Pierre Hamel

ÉAYolaine Brochu

Gap at the last election42.3 points

Retrospective reconstruction. The 2017 map was used in 2018 and 2022. H2 (2014) excluded: map change not reviewed. No biography inferred.

Nomination status: Confirmed historical candidacy

A gap measured at the last election, not a prediction.

The arithmetic behind the assignment

H1 · 2018 · Louis-Hébert

Party at the previous election : 2.3 %

Strongest opponent at that election : 44.6 %

36,440 valid votes · Verified comparable territory

Inspect all votes and the denominator

Geneviève Guilbault · CAQ16,248 votes
Julie-Maude Perron · QLP9,700 votes
Normand Beauregard · PQ4,529 votes
Guillaume Boivin · QS4,030 votes
Natalie Bjerke · PCQ841 votes
Daydree Vendette · PVQ550 votes
Caroline Côté · NPDQ276 votes
Vincent Bégin · CI244 votes
Jean-Luc Rouckout · ÉA22 votes

Sum of candidate votes = 36,440 / 36,440 valid votes

The calculation

44.6 % − 2.3 % = 42.3 points

Calculated using unrounded values; displayed to one decimal.

The person behind the assignment

Why run here?

No interview published.

Retrospective reconstruction

Outcome

Sources and supporting evidence (5)

Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 66a4410f46b2c664
Élections Québec ↗Official 2022 candidacies; incumbent indicator used for pre-election context.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 488057227cc47565
Élections Québec ↗Official map history: twelve territories retained in 2026; 2017 map used in 2018 and 2022.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 6b23cd706bd2ca87
Assemblée nationale du Québec ↗Claire Samson sat for the PCQ before the 2022 dissolution. The party qualifies through a held seat; its 2018 share alone does not qualify.September 7, 2026 · SHA-256 d8080c6198b3c31c
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 ff268ada6bee3c51

Another dossier awaits.

No.The challengerThe incumbent / opponentGap at the last electionSave this dossier

Louis-Charles Fortier

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.2 pts

Chantal Beauregard

PQParti Québécois

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.0 pts