Candidate dossier / 029 · Mercier

Where

The challenger

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Emmanuel Da Costa

Mercier

54.1points behind the leader

QSQuébec solidaire

INCUMBENT

Ruba GhazalMercier

54.5 %

Ruba GhazalQuébec solidaire · IncumbentQS since 2008

The climb · 2018

QSRuba Ghazal

QLPCatherine Boundjia

PQSabrina Mercier-Ullhorn

CAQFlorence Lavictoire

PCQEmmanuel Da Costa

PNJenny Cartwright

PVQVéronique Langlois

Gap at the last election54.1 points

Retrospective reconstruction. The 2017 map was used in 2018 and 2022. H2 (2014) excluded: map change not reviewed. No biography inferred.

Nomination status: Confirmed historical candidacy

A gap measured at the last election, not a prediction.

The arithmetic behind the assignment

H1 · 2018 · Mercier

Party at the previous election : 0.4 %

Strongest opponent at that election : 54.5 %

29,210 valid votes · Verified comparable territory

Inspect all votes and the denominator

Ruba Ghazal · QS15,919 votes
Gabrielle Collu · QLP5,172 votes
Michelle Blanc · PQ3,542 votes
Johanne Gagné · CAQ2,348 votes
Stephanie Rochemont · PVQ1,102 votes
Conrad Thompson · NPDQ738 votes
Malou Marcil · PN233 votes
Ludovic Proulx · PCQ122 votes
Serge Lachapelle · PMLQ34 votes

Sum of candidate votes = 29,210 / 29,210 valid votes

The calculation

54.5 % − 0.4 % = 54.1 points

Calculated using unrounded values; displayed to one decimal.

The person behind the assignment

Why run here?

No interview published.

Retrospective reconstruction

Outcome

Sources and supporting evidence (5)

Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 66a4410f46b2c664
Élections Québec ↗Official 2022 candidacies; incumbent indicator used for pre-election context.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 488057227cc47565
Élections Québec ↗Official map history: twelve territories retained in 2026; 2017 map used in 2018 and 2022.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 6b23cd706bd2ca87
Assemblée nationale du Québec ↗Claire Samson sat for the PCQ before the 2022 dissolution. The party qualifies through a held seat; its 2018 share alone does not qualify.September 7, 2026 · SHA-256 d8080c6198b3c31c
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 ff268ada6bee3c51

Another dossier awaits.

No.The challengerThe incumbent / opponentGap at the last electionSave this dossier

Louis-Charles Fortier

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.2 pts

Chantal Beauregard

PQParti Québécois

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.0 pts

← Back to the ranking

Candidate dossier / 029 · Mercier

Where

The challenger

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Emmanuel Da Costa

Mercier

54.1points behind the leader

QSQuébec solidaire

INCUMBENT

Ruba GhazalMercier

54.5 %

Ruba GhazalQuébec solidaire · IncumbentQS since 2008

The climb · 2018

QSRuba Ghazal

QLPCatherine Boundjia

PQSabrina Mercier-Ullhorn

CAQFlorence Lavictoire

PCQEmmanuel Da Costa

PNJenny Cartwright

PVQVéronique Langlois

Gap at the last election54.1 points

Retrospective reconstruction. The 2017 map was used in 2018 and 2022. H2 (2014) excluded: map change not reviewed. No biography inferred.

Nomination status: Confirmed historical candidacy

A gap measured at the last election, not a prediction.

The arithmetic behind the assignment

H1 · 2018 · Mercier

Party at the previous election : 0.4 %

Strongest opponent at that election : 54.5 %

29,210 valid votes · Verified comparable territory

Inspect all votes and the denominator

Ruba Ghazal · QS15,919 votes
Gabrielle Collu · QLP5,172 votes
Michelle Blanc · PQ3,542 votes
Johanne Gagné · CAQ2,348 votes
Stephanie Rochemont · PVQ1,102 votes
Conrad Thompson · NPDQ738 votes
Malou Marcil · PN233 votes
Ludovic Proulx · PCQ122 votes
Serge Lachapelle · PMLQ34 votes

Sum of candidate votes = 29,210 / 29,210 valid votes

The calculation

54.5 % − 0.4 % = 54.1 points

Calculated using unrounded values; displayed to one decimal.

The person behind the assignment

Why run here?

No interview published.

Retrospective reconstruction

Outcome

Sources and supporting evidence (5)

Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 66a4410f46b2c664
Élections Québec ↗Official 2022 candidacies; incumbent indicator used for pre-election context.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 488057227cc47565
Élections Québec ↗Official map history: twelve territories retained in 2026; 2017 map used in 2018 and 2022.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 6b23cd706bd2ca87
Assemblée nationale du Québec ↗Claire Samson sat for the PCQ before the 2022 dissolution. The party qualifies through a held seat; its 2018 share alone does not qualify.September 7, 2026 · SHA-256 d8080c6198b3c31c
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 ff268ada6bee3c51

Another dossier awaits.

No.The challengerThe incumbent / opponentGap at the last electionSave this dossier

Louis-Charles Fortier

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.2 pts

Chantal Beauregard

PQParti Québécois

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.0 pts