Candidate dossier / 004 · Jacques-Cartier

Where

The challenger

QSQuébec solidaire

Marie-Ève Mathieu

Jacques-Cartier

67.4points behind the leader

QLPQuebec Liberal Party

INCUMBENT

Gregory KelleyJacques-Cartier

71.8 %

Gregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party · IncumbentQLP since 1994

The climb · 2018

QLPGregory Kelley

CAQRébecca Guénard-Chouinard

QSMarie-Ève Mathieu

PQChantal Beauregard

PCQLouis-Charles Fortier

PCaQArthur Fischer

PVQVirginie Beaudet

Gap at the last election67.4 points

Retrospective reconstruction. The 2017 map was used in 2018 and 2022. H2 (2014) excluded: map change not reviewed. No biography inferred.

Nomination status: Confirmed historical candidacy

A gap measured at the last election, not a prediction.

The arithmetic behind the assignment

H1 · 2018 · Jacques-Cartier

Party at the previous election : 4.4 %

Strongest opponent at that election : 71.8 %

29,431 valid votes · Verified comparable territory

Inspect all votes and the denominator

Gregory Kelley · QLP21,133 votes
Karen Hilchey · CAQ2,744 votes
Catherine Polson · PVQ1,981 votes
Nicolas Chatel-Launay · QS1,291 votes
Martine Bourgeois · PQ815 votes
Louis-Charles Fortier · PCQ762 votes
France Séguin · NPDQ555 votes
Teodor Daiev · CI78 votes
Cynthia Bouchard · CPQ72 votes

Sum of candidate votes = 29,431 / 29,431 valid votes

The calculation

71.8 % − 4.4 % = 67.4 points

Calculated using unrounded values; displayed to one decimal.

The person behind the assignment

Why run here?

No interview published.

Retrospective reconstruction

Outcome

Sources and supporting evidence (4)

Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 66a4410f46b2c664
Élections Québec ↗Official 2022 candidacies; incumbent indicator used for pre-election context.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 488057227cc47565
Élections Québec ↗Official map history: twelve territories retained in 2026; 2017 map used in 2018 and 2022.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 6b23cd706bd2ca87
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 ff268ada6bee3c51

Another dossier awaits.

No.The challengerThe incumbent / opponentGap at the last electionSave this dossier

Louis-Charles Fortier

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.2 pts

Chantal Beauregard

PQParti Québécois

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.0 pts

← Back to the ranking

Candidate dossier / 004 · Jacques-Cartier

Where

The challenger

QSQuébec solidaire

Marie-Ève Mathieu

Jacques-Cartier

67.4points behind the leader

QLPQuebec Liberal Party

INCUMBENT

Gregory KelleyJacques-Cartier

71.8 %

Gregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party · IncumbentQLP since 1994

The climb · 2018

QLPGregory Kelley

CAQRébecca Guénard-Chouinard

QSMarie-Ève Mathieu

PQChantal Beauregard

PCQLouis-Charles Fortier

PCaQArthur Fischer

PVQVirginie Beaudet

Gap at the last election67.4 points

Retrospective reconstruction. The 2017 map was used in 2018 and 2022. H2 (2014) excluded: map change not reviewed. No biography inferred.

Nomination status: Confirmed historical candidacy

A gap measured at the last election, not a prediction.

The arithmetic behind the assignment

H1 · 2018 · Jacques-Cartier

Party at the previous election : 4.4 %

Strongest opponent at that election : 71.8 %

29,431 valid votes · Verified comparable territory

Inspect all votes and the denominator

Gregory Kelley · QLP21,133 votes
Karen Hilchey · CAQ2,744 votes
Catherine Polson · PVQ1,981 votes
Nicolas Chatel-Launay · QS1,291 votes
Martine Bourgeois · PQ815 votes
Louis-Charles Fortier · PCQ762 votes
France Séguin · NPDQ555 votes
Teodor Daiev · CI78 votes
Cynthia Bouchard · CPQ72 votes

Sum of candidate votes = 29,431 / 29,431 valid votes

The calculation

71.8 % − 4.4 % = 67.4 points

Calculated using unrounded values; displayed to one decimal.

The person behind the assignment

Why run here?

No interview published.

Retrospective reconstruction

Outcome

Sources and supporting evidence (4)

Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 66a4410f46b2c664
Élections Québec ↗Official 2022 candidacies; incumbent indicator used for pre-election context.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 488057227cc47565
Élections Québec ↗Official map history: twelve territories retained in 2026; 2017 map used in 2018 and 2022.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 6b23cd706bd2ca87
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 ff268ada6bee3c51

Another dossier awaits.

No.The challengerThe incumbent / opponentGap at the last electionSave this dossier

Louis-Charles Fortier

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.2 pts

Chantal Beauregard

PQParti Québécois

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.0 pts