Candidate dossier / — · Papineau

Where

The challenger

QLPQuebec Liberal Party

Wittlyn Kate Semervil

Papineau

23.8points behind the leader

CAQCoalition avenir Québec

INCUMBENT

Mathieu LacombePapineau

46.9 %

Mathieu LacombeCoalition avenir Québec · IncumbentCAQ since 2018

The climb · 2018

CAQMathieu Lacombe

QLPWittlyn Kate Semervil

QSMarie-Claude Latourelle

PQAudrey-Ann Chicoine

PCQMarc Carrière

DDCédric Brazeau

PVQMelissa Arbour

Gap at the last election23.8 points

Retrospective reconstruction. The 2017 map was used in 2018 and 2022. H2 (2014) excluded: map change not reviewed. No biography inferred.

Nomination status: Confirmed historical candidacy

A gap measured at the last election, not a prediction.

Reason : Below ranking threshold

The arithmetic behind the assignment

H1 · 2018 · Papineau

Party at the previous election : 23.1 %

Strongest opponent at that election : 46.9 %

36,168 valid votes · Verified comparable territory

Inspect all votes and the denominator

Mathieu Lacombe · CAQ16,975 votes
Alexandre Iracà · QLP8,358 votes
Mélanie Pilon-Gauvin · QS5,434 votes
Yves Destroismaisons · PQ3,828 votes
Michel Tardif · PVQ547 votes
Joanne Godin · PCQ463 votes
Lynn Boyer · CPQ252 votes
Isabelle Yde · PN227 votes
Claude Flaus · P84 votes

Sum of candidate votes = 36,168 / 36,168 valid votes

The calculation

46.9 % − 23.1 % = 23.8 points

Calculated using unrounded values; displayed to one decimal.

The person behind the assignment

Why run here?

No interview published.

Retrospective reconstruction

Outcome

Sources and supporting evidence (4)

Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 66a4410f46b2c664
Élections Québec ↗Official 2022 candidacies; incumbent indicator used for pre-election context.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 488057227cc47565
Élections Québec ↗Official map history: twelve territories retained in 2026; 2017 map used in 2018 and 2022.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 6b23cd706bd2ca87
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 ff268ada6bee3c51

Another dossier awaits.

No.The challengerThe incumbent / opponentGap at the last electionSave this dossier

Louis-Charles Fortier

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.2 pts

Chantal Beauregard

PQParti Québécois

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.0 pts

← Back to the ranking

Candidate dossier / — · Papineau

Where

The challenger

QLPQuebec Liberal Party

Wittlyn Kate Semervil

Papineau

23.8points behind the leader

CAQCoalition avenir Québec

INCUMBENT

Mathieu LacombePapineau

46.9 %

Mathieu LacombeCoalition avenir Québec · IncumbentCAQ since 2018

The climb · 2018

CAQMathieu Lacombe

QLPWittlyn Kate Semervil

QSMarie-Claude Latourelle

PQAudrey-Ann Chicoine

PCQMarc Carrière

DDCédric Brazeau

PVQMelissa Arbour

Gap at the last election23.8 points

Retrospective reconstruction. The 2017 map was used in 2018 and 2022. H2 (2014) excluded: map change not reviewed. No biography inferred.

Nomination status: Confirmed historical candidacy

A gap measured at the last election, not a prediction.

Reason : Below ranking threshold

The arithmetic behind the assignment

H1 · 2018 · Papineau

Party at the previous election : 23.1 %

Strongest opponent at that election : 46.9 %

36,168 valid votes · Verified comparable territory

Inspect all votes and the denominator

Mathieu Lacombe · CAQ16,975 votes
Alexandre Iracà · QLP8,358 votes
Mélanie Pilon-Gauvin · QS5,434 votes
Yves Destroismaisons · PQ3,828 votes
Michel Tardif · PVQ547 votes
Joanne Godin · PCQ463 votes
Lynn Boyer · CPQ252 votes
Isabelle Yde · PN227 votes
Claude Flaus · P84 votes

Sum of candidate votes = 36,168 / 36,168 valid votes

The calculation

46.9 % − 23.1 % = 23.8 points

Calculated using unrounded values; displayed to one decimal.

The person behind the assignment

Why run here?

No interview published.

Retrospective reconstruction

Outcome

Sources and supporting evidence (4)

Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 66a4410f46b2c664
Élections Québec ↗Official 2022 candidacies; incumbent indicator used for pre-election context.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 488057227cc47565
Élections Québec ↗Official map history: twelve territories retained in 2026; 2017 map used in 2018 and 2022.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 6b23cd706bd2ca87
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 ff268ada6bee3c51

Another dossier awaits.

No.The challengerThe incumbent / opponentGap at the last electionSave this dossier

Louis-Charles Fortier

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.2 pts

Chantal Beauregard

PQParti Québécois

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.0 pts