Candidate dossier / 050 · Portneuf

Where

The challenger

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Jacinthe-Eve Arel

Portneuf

49.1points behind the leader

CAQCoalition avenir Québec

INCUMBENT

Vincent CaronPortneuf

54.3 %

Vincent CaronCoalition avenir Québec · IncumbentCAQ since 2018

The climb · 2018

CAQVincent Caron

QLPPatrick Hayes

QSAnne-Marie Melançon

PQAlexandre Mc Cabe

PCQJacinthe-Eve Arel

DDKarine Simard

Gap at the last election49.1 points

Retrospective reconstruction. The 2017 map was used in 2018 and 2022. H2 (2014) excluded: map change not reviewed. No biography inferred.

Nomination status: Confirmed historical candidacy

A gap measured at the last election, not a prediction.

The arithmetic behind the assignment

H1 · 2018 · Portneuf

Party at the previous election : 5.2 %

Strongest opponent at that election : 54.3 %

29,450 valid votes · Verified comparable territory

Inspect all votes and the denominator

Vincent Caron · CAQ15,994 votes
Philippe Gasse · QLP5,559 votes
Odile Pelletier · QS3,364 votes
Christian Hébert · PQ2,727 votes
Guy Morin · PCQ1,524 votes
Constance Guimont · CPQ282 votes

Sum of candidate votes = 29,450 / 29,450 valid votes

The calculation

54.3 % − 5.2 % = 49.1 points

Calculated using unrounded values; displayed to one decimal.

The person behind the assignment

Why run here?

No interview published.

Retrospective reconstruction

Outcome

Sources and supporting evidence (5)

Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 66a4410f46b2c664
Élections Québec ↗Official 2022 candidacies; incumbent indicator used for pre-election context.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 488057227cc47565
Élections Québec ↗Official map history: twelve territories retained in 2026; 2017 map used in 2018 and 2022.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 6b23cd706bd2ca87
Assemblée nationale du Québec ↗Claire Samson sat for the PCQ before the 2022 dissolution. The party qualifies through a held seat; its 2018 share alone does not qualify.September 7, 2026 · SHA-256 d8080c6198b3c31c
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 ff268ada6bee3c51

Another dossier awaits.

No.The challengerThe incumbent / opponentGap at the last electionSave this dossier

Louis-Charles Fortier

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.2 pts

Chantal Beauregard

PQParti Québécois

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.0 pts

← Back to the ranking

Candidate dossier / 050 · Portneuf

Where

The challenger

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Jacinthe-Eve Arel

Portneuf

49.1points behind the leader

CAQCoalition avenir Québec

INCUMBENT

Vincent CaronPortneuf

54.3 %

Vincent CaronCoalition avenir Québec · IncumbentCAQ since 2018

The climb · 2018

CAQVincent Caron

QLPPatrick Hayes

QSAnne-Marie Melançon

PQAlexandre Mc Cabe

PCQJacinthe-Eve Arel

DDKarine Simard

Gap at the last election49.1 points

Retrospective reconstruction. The 2017 map was used in 2018 and 2022. H2 (2014) excluded: map change not reviewed. No biography inferred.

Nomination status: Confirmed historical candidacy

A gap measured at the last election, not a prediction.

The arithmetic behind the assignment

H1 · 2018 · Portneuf

Party at the previous election : 5.2 %

Strongest opponent at that election : 54.3 %

29,450 valid votes · Verified comparable territory

Inspect all votes and the denominator

Vincent Caron · CAQ15,994 votes
Philippe Gasse · QLP5,559 votes
Odile Pelletier · QS3,364 votes
Christian Hébert · PQ2,727 votes
Guy Morin · PCQ1,524 votes
Constance Guimont · CPQ282 votes

Sum of candidate votes = 29,450 / 29,450 valid votes

The calculation

54.3 % − 5.2 % = 49.1 points

Calculated using unrounded values; displayed to one decimal.

The person behind the assignment

Why run here?

No interview published.

Retrospective reconstruction

Outcome

Sources and supporting evidence (5)

Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 66a4410f46b2c664
Élections Québec ↗Official 2022 candidacies; incumbent indicator used for pre-election context.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 488057227cc47565
Élections Québec ↗Official map history: twelve territories retained in 2026; 2017 map used in 2018 and 2022.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 6b23cd706bd2ca87
Assemblée nationale du Québec ↗Claire Samson sat for the PCQ before the 2022 dissolution. The party qualifies through a held seat; its 2018 share alone does not qualify.September 7, 2026 · SHA-256 d8080c6198b3c31c
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 ff268ada6bee3c51

Another dossier awaits.

No.The challengerThe incumbent / opponentGap at the last electionSave this dossier

Louis-Charles Fortier

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.2 pts

Chantal Beauregard

PQParti Québécois

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.0 pts