Candidate dossier / 023 · Matane-Matapédia

Where

The challenger

CAQCoalition avenir Québec

Jean-Sébastien Barriault

Matane-Matapédia

58.1points behind the leader

PQParti Québécois

INCUMBENT

Pascal BérubéMatane-Matapédia

69.5 %

Pascal BérubéParti Québécois · IncumbentPQ since 2012

The climb · 2018

PQPascal Bérubé

CAQJean-Sébastien Barriault

QLPHarley Ryan Lounsbury

QSMarie-Phare Boucher

PCQAlexandre Leblanc

LFFMadeleine Rose

Gap at the last election58.1 points

Retrospective reconstruction. The 2017 map was used in 2018 and 2022. H2 (2014) excluded: map change not reviewed. No biography inferred.

Nomination status: Confirmed historical candidacy

A gap measured at the last election, not a prediction.

The arithmetic behind the assignment

H1 · 2018 · Matane-Matapédia

Party at the previous election : 11.4 %

Strongest opponent at that election : 69.5 %

29,741 valid votes · Verified comparable territory

Inspect all votes and the denominator

Pascal Bérubé · PQ20,658 votes
Mathieu Quenum · CAQ3,379 votes
Annie Fournier · QLP3,351 votes
Marie-Phare Boucher · QS1,718 votes
Pierre-Luc Coulombe · PVQ358 votes
Paul-Émile Vignola · PCQ159 votes
Jocelyn Rioux · CPQ118 votes

Sum of candidate votes = 29,741 / 29,741 valid votes

The calculation

69.5 % − 11.4 % = 58.1 points

Calculated using unrounded values; displayed to one decimal.

The person behind the assignment

Why run here?

No interview published.

Retrospective reconstruction

Outcome

Sources and supporting evidence (4)

Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 66a4410f46b2c664
Élections Québec ↗Official 2022 candidacies; incumbent indicator used for pre-election context.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 488057227cc47565
Élections Québec ↗Official map history: twelve territories retained in 2026; 2017 map used in 2018 and 2022.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 6b23cd706bd2ca87
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 ff268ada6bee3c51

Another dossier awaits.

No.The challengerThe incumbent / opponentGap at the last electionSave this dossier

Louis-Charles Fortier

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.2 pts

Chantal Beauregard

PQParti Québécois

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.0 pts

← Back to the ranking

Candidate dossier / 023 · Matane-Matapédia

Where

The challenger

CAQCoalition avenir Québec

Jean-Sébastien Barriault

Matane-Matapédia

58.1points behind the leader

PQParti Québécois

INCUMBENT

Pascal BérubéMatane-Matapédia

69.5 %

Pascal BérubéParti Québécois · IncumbentPQ since 2012

The climb · 2018

PQPascal Bérubé

CAQJean-Sébastien Barriault

QLPHarley Ryan Lounsbury

QSMarie-Phare Boucher

PCQAlexandre Leblanc

LFFMadeleine Rose

Gap at the last election58.1 points

Retrospective reconstruction. The 2017 map was used in 2018 and 2022. H2 (2014) excluded: map change not reviewed. No biography inferred.

Nomination status: Confirmed historical candidacy

A gap measured at the last election, not a prediction.

The arithmetic behind the assignment

H1 · 2018 · Matane-Matapédia

Party at the previous election : 11.4 %

Strongest opponent at that election : 69.5 %

29,741 valid votes · Verified comparable territory

Inspect all votes and the denominator

Pascal Bérubé · PQ20,658 votes
Mathieu Quenum · CAQ3,379 votes
Annie Fournier · QLP3,351 votes
Marie-Phare Boucher · QS1,718 votes
Pierre-Luc Coulombe · PVQ358 votes
Paul-Émile Vignola · PCQ159 votes
Jocelyn Rioux · CPQ118 votes

Sum of candidate votes = 29,741 / 29,741 valid votes

The calculation

69.5 % − 11.4 % = 58.1 points

Calculated using unrounded values; displayed to one decimal.

The person behind the assignment

Why run here?

No interview published.

Retrospective reconstruction

Outcome

Sources and supporting evidence (4)

Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 66a4410f46b2c664
Élections Québec ↗Official 2022 candidacies; incumbent indicator used for pre-election context.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 488057227cc47565
Élections Québec ↗Official map history: twelve territories retained in 2026; 2017 map used in 2018 and 2022.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 6b23cd706bd2ca87
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 ff268ada6bee3c51

Another dossier awaits.

No.The challengerThe incumbent / opponentGap at the last electionSave this dossier

Louis-Charles Fortier

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.2 pts

Chantal Beauregard

PQParti Québécois

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.0 pts