Candidate dossier / 045 · Lotbinière-Frontenac

Where

The challenger

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Christian Gauthier

Lotbinière-Frontenac

50.1points behind the leader

CAQCoalition avenir Québec

INCUMBENT

Isabelle LecoursLotbinière-Frontenac

53.8 %

Isabelle LecoursCoalition avenir Québec · IncumbentCAQ since 2018

The climb · 2018

CAQIsabelle Lecours

QLPNormand Côté

QSChristine Gilbert

PQLouise Marchand

PCQChristian Gauthier

Gap at the last election50.1 points

Retrospective reconstruction. The 2017 map was used in 2018 and 2022. H2 (2014) excluded: map change not reviewed. No biography inferred.

Nomination status: Confirmed historical candidacy

A gap measured at the last election, not a prediction.

The arithmetic behind the assignment

H1 · 2018 · Lotbinière-Frontenac

Party at the previous election : 3.7 %

Strongest opponent at that election : 53.8 %

37,855 valid votes · Verified comparable territory

Inspect all votes and the denominator

Isabelle Lecours · CAQ20,360 votes
Pierre-Luc Daigle · QLP7,742 votes
Normand Beaudet · QS3,593 votes
Yohann Beaulieu · PQ3,591 votes
Réjean Labbé · PCQ1,410 votes
Marie-Claude Dextraze · PVQ655 votes
Yves Roy · CPQ304 votes
Daniel Croteau · P200 votes

Sum of candidate votes = 37,855 / 37,855 valid votes

The calculation

53.8 % − 3.7 % = 50.1 points

Calculated using unrounded values; displayed to one decimal.

The person behind the assignment

Why run here?

No interview published.

Retrospective reconstruction

Outcome

Sources and supporting evidence (5)

Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 66a4410f46b2c664
Élections Québec ↗Official 2022 candidacies; incumbent indicator used for pre-election context.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 488057227cc47565
Élections Québec ↗Official map history: twelve territories retained in 2026; 2017 map used in 2018 and 2022.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 6b23cd706bd2ca87
Assemblée nationale du Québec ↗Claire Samson sat for the PCQ before the 2022 dissolution. The party qualifies through a held seat; its 2018 share alone does not qualify.September 7, 2026 · SHA-256 d8080c6198b3c31c
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 ff268ada6bee3c51

Another dossier awaits.

No.The challengerThe incumbent / opponentGap at the last electionSave this dossier

Louis-Charles Fortier

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.2 pts

Chantal Beauregard

PQParti Québécois

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.0 pts

← Back to the ranking

Candidate dossier / 045 · Lotbinière-Frontenac

Where

The challenger

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Christian Gauthier

Lotbinière-Frontenac

50.1points behind the leader

CAQCoalition avenir Québec

INCUMBENT

Isabelle LecoursLotbinière-Frontenac

53.8 %

Isabelle LecoursCoalition avenir Québec · IncumbentCAQ since 2018

The climb · 2018

CAQIsabelle Lecours

QLPNormand Côté

QSChristine Gilbert

PQLouise Marchand

PCQChristian Gauthier

Gap at the last election50.1 points

Retrospective reconstruction. The 2017 map was used in 2018 and 2022. H2 (2014) excluded: map change not reviewed. No biography inferred.

Nomination status: Confirmed historical candidacy

A gap measured at the last election, not a prediction.

The arithmetic behind the assignment

H1 · 2018 · Lotbinière-Frontenac

Party at the previous election : 3.7 %

Strongest opponent at that election : 53.8 %

37,855 valid votes · Verified comparable territory

Inspect all votes and the denominator

Isabelle Lecours · CAQ20,360 votes
Pierre-Luc Daigle · QLP7,742 votes
Normand Beaudet · QS3,593 votes
Yohann Beaulieu · PQ3,591 votes
Réjean Labbé · PCQ1,410 votes
Marie-Claude Dextraze · PVQ655 votes
Yves Roy · CPQ304 votes
Daniel Croteau · P200 votes

Sum of candidate votes = 37,855 / 37,855 valid votes

The calculation

53.8 % − 3.7 % = 50.1 points

Calculated using unrounded values; displayed to one decimal.

The person behind the assignment

Why run here?

No interview published.

Retrospective reconstruction

Outcome

Sources and supporting evidence (5)

Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 66a4410f46b2c664
Élections Québec ↗Official 2022 candidacies; incumbent indicator used for pre-election context.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 488057227cc47565
Élections Québec ↗Official map history: twelve territories retained in 2026; 2017 map used in 2018 and 2022.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 6b23cd706bd2ca87
Assemblée nationale du Québec ↗Claire Samson sat for the PCQ before the 2022 dissolution. The party qualifies through a held seat; its 2018 share alone does not qualify.September 7, 2026 · SHA-256 d8080c6198b3c31c
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 ff268ada6bee3c51

Another dossier awaits.

No.The challengerThe incumbent / opponentGap at the last electionSave this dossier

Louis-Charles Fortier

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.2 pts

Chantal Beauregard

PQParti Québécois

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.0 pts