Candidate dossier / — · Laval-des-Rapides

Where

The challenger

CAQCoalition avenir Québec

Céline Haytayan

Laval-des-Rapides

0.8points behind the leader

QLPQuebec Liberal Party

INCUMBENT

Saul PoloLaval-des-Rapides

31.5 %

Saul PoloQuebec Liberal Party · IncumbentQLP in 2018

The climb · 2018

QLPSaul Polo

CAQCéline Haytayan

QSJosée Chevalier

PQAndréanne Fiola

PCQNicolas Lussier-Clément

PVQZied Damergi

Gap at the last election0.8 points

Retrospective reconstruction. The 2017 map was used in 2018 and 2022. H2 (2014) excluded: map change not reviewed. No biography inferred.

Nomination status: Confirmed historical candidacy

A gap measured at the last election, not a prediction.

Reason : Below ranking threshold

The arithmetic behind the assignment

H1 · 2018 · Laval-des-Rapides

Party at the previous election : 30.7 %

Strongest opponent at that election : 31.5 %

33,730 valid votes · Verified comparable territory

Inspect all votes and the denominator

Saul Polo · QLP10,637 votes
Christine Mitton · CAQ10,366 votes
Graciela Mateo · QS5,721 votes
Jocelyn Caron · PQ5,195 votes
Estelle Obeo · PVQ738 votes
Benoit Larocque · PCQ361 votes
Bianca Bozsodi · CPQ271 votes
Jean Phariste Pharicien · NPDQ257 votes
Elias Progakis · PL184 votes

Sum of candidate votes = 33,730 / 33,730 valid votes

The calculation

31.5 % − 30.7 % = 0.8 points

Calculated using unrounded values; displayed to one decimal.

The person behind the assignment

Why run here?

No interview published.

Retrospective reconstruction

Outcome

Sources and supporting evidence (4)

Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 66a4410f46b2c664
Élections Québec ↗Official 2022 candidacies; incumbent indicator used for pre-election context.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 488057227cc47565
Élections Québec ↗Official map history: twelve territories retained in 2026; 2017 map used in 2018 and 2022.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 6b23cd706bd2ca87
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 ff268ada6bee3c51

Another dossier awaits.

No.The challengerThe incumbent / opponentGap at the last electionSave this dossier

Louis-Charles Fortier

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.2 pts

Chantal Beauregard

PQParti Québécois

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.0 pts

← Back to the ranking

Candidate dossier / — · Laval-des-Rapides

Where

The challenger

CAQCoalition avenir Québec

Céline Haytayan

Laval-des-Rapides

0.8points behind the leader

QLPQuebec Liberal Party

INCUMBENT

Saul PoloLaval-des-Rapides

31.5 %

Saul PoloQuebec Liberal Party · IncumbentQLP in 2018

The climb · 2018

QLPSaul Polo

CAQCéline Haytayan

QSJosée Chevalier

PQAndréanne Fiola

PCQNicolas Lussier-Clément

PVQZied Damergi

Gap at the last election0.8 points

Retrospective reconstruction. The 2017 map was used in 2018 and 2022. H2 (2014) excluded: map change not reviewed. No biography inferred.

Nomination status: Confirmed historical candidacy

A gap measured at the last election, not a prediction.

Reason : Below ranking threshold

The arithmetic behind the assignment

H1 · 2018 · Laval-des-Rapides

Party at the previous election : 30.7 %

Strongest opponent at that election : 31.5 %

33,730 valid votes · Verified comparable territory

Inspect all votes and the denominator

Saul Polo · QLP10,637 votes
Christine Mitton · CAQ10,366 votes
Graciela Mateo · QS5,721 votes
Jocelyn Caron · PQ5,195 votes
Estelle Obeo · PVQ738 votes
Benoit Larocque · PCQ361 votes
Bianca Bozsodi · CPQ271 votes
Jean Phariste Pharicien · NPDQ257 votes
Elias Progakis · PL184 votes

Sum of candidate votes = 33,730 / 33,730 valid votes

The calculation

31.5 % − 30.7 % = 0.8 points

Calculated using unrounded values; displayed to one decimal.

The person behind the assignment

Why run here?

No interview published.

Retrospective reconstruction

Outcome

Sources and supporting evidence (4)

Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 66a4410f46b2c664
Élections Québec ↗Official 2022 candidacies; incumbent indicator used for pre-election context.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 488057227cc47565
Élections Québec ↗Official map history: twelve territories retained in 2026; 2017 map used in 2018 and 2022.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 6b23cd706bd2ca87
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 ff268ada6bee3c51

Another dossier awaits.

No.The challengerThe incumbent / opponentGap at the last electionSave this dossier

Louis-Charles Fortier

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.2 pts

Chantal Beauregard

PQParti Québécois

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.0 pts