Candidate dossier / — · Robert-Baldwin

Where

The challenger

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Axel Lellouche

Robert-Baldwin

70.8points behind the leader

QLPQuebec Liberal Party

DEFENDS THE SEAT

Brigitte GarceauRobert-Baldwin

73.9 %

Brigitte GarceauQuebec Liberal Party · Defends the seatQLP since at least 1970

The climb · 2018

QLPThe seat

CAQMaïté Beaudoin

QSMarieve Ruel

PQAlix Martel

PCQAxel Lellouche

PVQDavid MacFarquhar

PCaQJonathan Gray

BMÉBHQaiser Choudhry

Gap at the last election70.8 points

Retrospective reconstruction. The 2017 map was used in 2018 and 2022. H2 (2014) excluded: map change not reviewed. No biography inferred.

Nomination status: Confirmed historical candidacy

A gap measured at the last election, not a prediction.

Reason : Current party hold unverified

The arithmetic behind the assignment

H1 · 2018 · Robert-Baldwin

Party at the previous election : 3.0 %

Strongest opponent at that election : 73.9 %

30,365 valid votes · Verified comparable territory

Inspect all votes and the denominator

Carlos J. Leitão · QLP22,426 votes
Laura Azéroual · CAQ3,438 votes
Zachary Williams · QS1,317 votes
Marie-Imalta Pierre-Lys · PQ994 votes
Michael-Louis Coppa · PCQ921 votes
Catherine Richardson · PVQ781 votes
Luca Brown · NPDQ488 votes

Sum of candidate votes = 30,365 / 30,365 valid votes

The calculation

73.9 % − 3.0 % = 70.8 points

Calculated using unrounded values; displayed to one decimal.

The person behind the assignment

Why run here?

No interview published.

Retrospective reconstruction

Outcome

Sources and supporting evidence (5)

Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 66a4410f46b2c664
Élections Québec ↗Official 2022 candidacies; incumbent indicator used for pre-election context.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 488057227cc47565
Élections Québec ↗Official map history: twelve territories retained in 2026; 2017 map used in 2018 and 2022.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 6b23cd706bd2ca87
Assemblée nationale du Québec ↗Claire Samson sat for the PCQ before the 2022 dissolution. The party qualifies through a held seat; its 2018 share alone does not qualify.September 7, 2026 · SHA-256 d8080c6198b3c31c
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 ff268ada6bee3c51

Another dossier awaits.

No.The challengerThe incumbent / opponentGap at the last electionSave this dossier

Louis-Charles Fortier

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.2 pts

Chantal Beauregard

PQParti Québécois

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.0 pts

← Back to the ranking

Candidate dossier / — · Robert-Baldwin

Where

The challenger

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Axel Lellouche

Robert-Baldwin

70.8points behind the leader

QLPQuebec Liberal Party

DEFENDS THE SEAT

Brigitte GarceauRobert-Baldwin

73.9 %

Brigitte GarceauQuebec Liberal Party · Defends the seatQLP since at least 1970

The climb · 2018

QLPThe seat

CAQMaïté Beaudoin

QSMarieve Ruel

PQAlix Martel

PCQAxel Lellouche

PVQDavid MacFarquhar

PCaQJonathan Gray

BMÉBHQaiser Choudhry

Gap at the last election70.8 points

Retrospective reconstruction. The 2017 map was used in 2018 and 2022. H2 (2014) excluded: map change not reviewed. No biography inferred.

Nomination status: Confirmed historical candidacy

A gap measured at the last election, not a prediction.

Reason : Current party hold unverified

The arithmetic behind the assignment

H1 · 2018 · Robert-Baldwin

Party at the previous election : 3.0 %

Strongest opponent at that election : 73.9 %

30,365 valid votes · Verified comparable territory

Inspect all votes and the denominator

Carlos J. Leitão · QLP22,426 votes
Laura Azéroual · CAQ3,438 votes
Zachary Williams · QS1,317 votes
Marie-Imalta Pierre-Lys · PQ994 votes
Michael-Louis Coppa · PCQ921 votes
Catherine Richardson · PVQ781 votes
Luca Brown · NPDQ488 votes

Sum of candidate votes = 30,365 / 30,365 valid votes

The calculation

73.9 % − 3.0 % = 70.8 points

Calculated using unrounded values; displayed to one decimal.

The person behind the assignment

Why run here?

No interview published.

Retrospective reconstruction

Outcome

Sources and supporting evidence (5)

Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 66a4410f46b2c664
Élections Québec ↗Official 2022 candidacies; incumbent indicator used for pre-election context.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 488057227cc47565
Élections Québec ↗Official map history: twelve territories retained in 2026; 2017 map used in 2018 and 2022.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 6b23cd706bd2ca87
Assemblée nationale du Québec ↗Claire Samson sat for the PCQ before the 2022 dissolution. The party qualifies through a held seat; its 2018 share alone does not qualify.September 7, 2026 · SHA-256 d8080c6198b3c31c
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 ff268ada6bee3c51

Another dossier awaits.

No.The challengerThe incumbent / opponentGap at the last electionSave this dossier

Louis-Charles Fortier

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.2 pts

Chantal Beauregard

PQParti Québécois

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.0 pts