Candidate dossier / — · Roberval

Where

The challenger

PQParti Québécois

Patrice Bouchard

Roberval

23.4points behind the leader

CAQCoalition avenir Québec

INCUMBENT

Nancy GuillemetteRoberval

42.5 %

Nancy GuillemetteCoalition avenir Québec · IncumbentQLP 2018

The climb · 2018

CAQNancy Guillemette

QLPMaxim Lavoie

PQPatrice Bouchard

QSMichaël Ottereyes

PCQSamuel Gaudreault

CQLynda Lalancette

Gap at the last election23.4 points

Retrospective reconstruction. The 2017 map was used in 2018 and 2022. H2 (2014) excluded: map change not reviewed. No biography inferred.

Nomination status: Confirmed historical candidacy

A gap measured at the last election, not a prediction.

Reason : Below ranking threshold

The arithmetic behind the assignment

H1 · 2018 · Roberval

Party at the previous election : 19.0 %

Strongest opponent at that election : 42.5 %

27,810 valid votes · Verified comparable territory

Inspect all votes and the denominator

Philippe Couillard · QLP11,807 votes
Denise Trudel · CAQ6,719 votes
Thomas Gaudreault · PQ5,290 votes
Luc-Antoine Cauchon · QS2,975 votes
Carl Lamontagne · PCQ478 votes
Julie Boucher · CPQ305 votes
Lynda Lalancette · PN236 votes

Sum of candidate votes = 27,810 / 27,810 valid votes

The calculation

42.5 % − 19.0 % = 23.4 points

Calculated using unrounded values; displayed to one decimal.

The person behind the assignment

Why run here?

No interview published.

Retrospective reconstruction

Outcome

Sources and supporting evidence (4)

Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 66a4410f46b2c664
Élections Québec ↗Official 2022 candidacies; incumbent indicator used for pre-election context.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 488057227cc47565
Élections Québec ↗Official map history: twelve territories retained in 2026; 2017 map used in 2018 and 2022.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 6b23cd706bd2ca87
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 ff268ada6bee3c51

Another dossier awaits.

No.The challengerThe incumbent / opponentGap at the last electionSave this dossier

Louis-Charles Fortier

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.2 pts

Chantal Beauregard

PQParti Québécois

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.0 pts

← Back to the ranking

Candidate dossier / — · Roberval

Where

The challenger

PQParti Québécois

Patrice Bouchard

Roberval

23.4points behind the leader

CAQCoalition avenir Québec

INCUMBENT

Nancy GuillemetteRoberval

42.5 %

Nancy GuillemetteCoalition avenir Québec · IncumbentQLP 2018

The climb · 2018

CAQNancy Guillemette

QLPMaxim Lavoie

PQPatrice Bouchard

QSMichaël Ottereyes

PCQSamuel Gaudreault

CQLynda Lalancette

Gap at the last election23.4 points

Retrospective reconstruction. The 2017 map was used in 2018 and 2022. H2 (2014) excluded: map change not reviewed. No biography inferred.

Nomination status: Confirmed historical candidacy

A gap measured at the last election, not a prediction.

Reason : Below ranking threshold

The arithmetic behind the assignment

H1 · 2018 · Roberval

Party at the previous election : 19.0 %

Strongest opponent at that election : 42.5 %

27,810 valid votes · Verified comparable territory

Inspect all votes and the denominator

Philippe Couillard · QLP11,807 votes
Denise Trudel · CAQ6,719 votes
Thomas Gaudreault · PQ5,290 votes
Luc-Antoine Cauchon · QS2,975 votes
Carl Lamontagne · PCQ478 votes
Julie Boucher · CPQ305 votes
Lynda Lalancette · PN236 votes

Sum of candidate votes = 27,810 / 27,810 valid votes

The calculation

42.5 % − 19.0 % = 23.4 points

Calculated using unrounded values; displayed to one decimal.

The person behind the assignment

Why run here?

No interview published.

Retrospective reconstruction

Outcome

Sources and supporting evidence (4)

Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 66a4410f46b2c664
Élections Québec ↗Official 2022 candidacies; incumbent indicator used for pre-election context.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 488057227cc47565
Élections Québec ↗Official map history: twelve territories retained in 2026; 2017 map used in 2018 and 2022.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 6b23cd706bd2ca87
Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 ff268ada6bee3c51

Another dossier awaits.

No.The challengerThe incumbent / opponentGap at the last electionSave this dossier

Louis-Charles Fortier

PCQConservative Party of Quebec

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.2 pts

Chantal Beauregard

PQParti Québécois

Jacques-Cartier

The incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party

69.0 pts