Ind.Independent
Vincent Bégin
Louis-Hébert—
Ouverture du dossier… / Opening the dossier…
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POTEAUThe uneven side of elections.
Candidate dossier / — · Louis-Hébert
WhereRiding 709 · Capitale-NationaleLouis-HébertPart of Québec · Saint-Augustin-de-Desmaures
The challenger
CAQCoalition avenir Québec
SEAT TO DEFEND?
No nomination filedAt dissolution: Geneviève GuilbaultNo nomination paper filed with Élections Québec as of September 7, 2026. Filing closes September 17 at 2 p.m.
47.2 %
No nomination filedCoalition avenir Québec · Seat to defendAt dissolution : Geneviève GuilbaultCAQ since 201847.2 % at the last electionNo nomination paper filed with Élections Québec as of September 7, 2026. Filing closes September 17 at 2 p.m.
The climb · 2022
CAQ47.2 %Geneviève Guilbault
PQ16.5 %Chloé Fauchon
PCQ14.6 %Marcos Archambault
Gap at the last election— points
Unchanged territory according to the official final 2026 list. The 2022 and 2018 histories use the 2017 map; name changes are verified. Party hold is established at August 27, 2026, independently of confirmed nominations. Age and tenure are not documented.
A gap measured at the last election, not a prediction.
Reason : Independent candidacy · outside POTEAU’s scope
At dissolution on August 27, 2026 : Geneviève Guilbault · CAQ. This affiliation is separate from confirmation of a new nomination.
The arithmetic behind the assignment
H1 · 2022 · Louis-Hébert
Party at the previous election : No comparable party candidacy
Strongest opponent at that election : 47.2 %
37,710 valid votes · Verified comparable territoryThis election does not contribute to the score.
Inspect all votes and the denominator
- Geneviève Guilbault · CAQ17,803 votes
- Victor Dubuc · PQ6,228 votes
- Marika Robitaille · PCQ5,509 votes
- Steven Lachance · QS4,537 votes
- Dominic Cardinal · QLP3,283 votes
- Daydree Vendette · PVQ285 votes
- Jean-Pierre Hamel · DD33 votes
- Yolaine Brochu · ÉA32 votes
Sum of candidate votes = 37,710 / 37,710 valid votes
H2 · 2018 · Louis-Hébert
Party at the previous election : No comparable party candidacy
Strongest opponent at that election : 44.6 %
36,440 valid votes · Verified comparable territoryShown for context. The score uses the last election only.
Inspect all votes and the denominator
- Geneviève Guilbault · CAQ16,248 votes
- Julie-Maude Perron · QLP9,700 votes
- Normand Beauregard · PQ4,529 votes
- Guillaume Boivin · QS4,030 votes
- Natalie Bjerke · PCQ841 votes
- Daydree Vendette · PVQ550 votes
- Caroline Côté · NPDQ276 votes
- Vincent Bégin · CI244 votes
- Jean-Luc Rouckout · ÉA22 votes
Sum of candidate votes = 36,440 / 36,440 valid votes
The calculation
Not available
Calculated using unrounded values; displayed to one decimal.Sources and supporting evidence (9)
- Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 7, 2026 · SHA-256 969675c27b6f594d
- Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 4515dbbc7d71aace
- Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 ffe7e38098f0e071
- Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 4030bbb26912a7bc
- Élections Québec ↗Official map history: twelve territories retained in 2026; 2017 map used in 2018 and 2022.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 6b23cd706bd2ca87
- Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 dd164f0ad5ff7e9f
- Assemblée nationale du Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 7, 2026 · SHA-256 1d8ee8ea2a30ef5d
- Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 66a4410f46b2c664
- Élections Québec ↗Official file retained with SHA-256 checksum and schema validation.September 6, 2026 · SHA-256 ff268ada6bee3c51
Another dossier awaits.
No.The challengerThe incumbent / opponentGap at the last electionSave this dossier
The incumbent / opponentBrigitte GarceauQuebec Liberal Party
55.2 pts
CAQCoalition avenir Québec
Jacques-CartierPointe-Claire and 4 other communitiesThe incumbent / opponentGregory KelleyQuebec Liberal Party
53.1 pts